Annual house price growth strongest since July 2018

  • Annual house price growth edges up to 2.3%, the strongest rate for 18 months
  • 3% rise month-on-month, after taking account of seasonal factors

Headlines

Feb-20

Jan-20

Monthly Index*

435.8

434.4

Monthly Change*

0.3%

0.5%

Annual Change

2.3%

1.9%

Average Price

(not seasonally adjusted)

£216,092

£215,897

* Seasonally adjusted figure (note that monthly % changes are revised when seasonal adjustment factors are re-estimated)

Commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist, said:

“UK annual house price growth continued to edge higher in February rising to 2.3%, from 1.9% in January – the strongest rate for 18 months.

“While overall economic growth ground to a halt in the final three months of 2019, labour market conditions remained buoyant and borrowing costs low. The decisive election outcome may have provided a boost to buyer sentiment.

“Recent data releases indicate that the housing market has gathered momentum in recent months and the latest house price figures are in line with that trend. The number of residential property transactions and mortgages approved for house purchase increased around the turn of the year and surveyors have reported an increase in new buyer enquiries.

“Looking ahead, economic developments will remain the key driver of housing market trends and house prices. Business surveys suggest that activity recovered in the New Year, but there are still significant uncertainties that threaten to exert a drag on the economy in the coming quarters.

“The global economic backdrop remains challenging, with the coronavirus outbreak expected to weigh on global activity in the coming quarters. Investment is likely to remain subdued until the UK’s future global trading relationships become clearer, which is unlikely until early next year.

“Overall, we expect the UK economy to continue to expand at a modest pace in 2020, with house prices remaining broadly flat in 2020 as a whole. 

Property accounts for over a third of households’ net wealth

“The latest detailed data from the ONS Wealth and Assets Survey shows that total household net wealth (i.e. after deducting outstanding debt) amounted to almost £14.6 trillion over the April 2016 to March 2018 period. This is equivalent to around 6.8 times the value of the UK economy’s total output in 2018.

“Net property wealth is the second largest store of household wealth, after private pension wealth, and amounted to c.£5.1 trillion over the April 2016 to March 2018 period[1]. (The gross value of property wealth was around £6.3 trillion over the period, but net mortgage debt of c£1.2 trillion must be subtracted to obtain the net property wealth figure.)

“Property wealth also includes other properties owned by households, such as second homes and buy to lets, as well as land. More than one in ten (12%) households have additional property wealth – buy to let is the most common form, with 1.4 million households owning rental property, while nearly a million have a second home.

“The ONS Wealth and Assets Survey also provides an interesting insight into the distribution of asset holdings. In the latest survey, the wealthiest 10% of households held around 45% of total household wealth, 47% of private pension wealth, 39% of net property wealth and 66% of other financial wealth.

“By contrast, the lower 50% of households held less than 10% of total wealth, property wealth and private pension wealth, and just 2% of other financial wealth.”

Notes to editors

[1] The ONS classify wealth into the following categories: private pension, property, other financial, and physical. Private pension includes occupational pensions, personal pensions and AVCs. Net property wealth is the value of any land and properties held, less outstanding mortgage debt. Net financial wealth is the value of financial assets (such as savings and investments) less financial debts (such as credit cards, overdrafts and loans). Physical wealth is the value of a household’s possessions and valuables.